Tren Makro

Gate Research (2025.3.28–4.2), this report provides a comprehensive analysis of key developments in the cryptocurrency market and macroeconomic landscape. On March 28, the U.S. Department of Commerce reported that the core PCE price index rose by 2.79% year-over-year in February, marking the highest level since December. Internationally, Kazakhstan announced plans to launch a “National Crypto Bank” aimed at centralizing the oversight of cryptocurrency trading across the country. As of March 31, a global trend toward lighter crypto regulations continues, with 47 countries easing restrictions since 2020. On April 1, the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI showed its first contraction of the year, while the price index jumped for a second straight month. On April 2, reports surfaced that the Trump administration is considering a new financial tool called “BitBonds” as part of a broader strategy to bolster its Bitcoin reserves.

Gate Research Daily Report: On April 2, Bitcoin price rose by 2.14% to $84,672, while Ethereum price increased by 2.90% to $1,883. Ethereum's weekly blob fees hit a new low since the Dencun upgrade. Long-term holders who entered between 2020 and 2022 continue to hold their Bitcoin with conviction. Sonic's TVL surpassed $1 billion. BlackRock received UK regulatory approval to become a crypto asset firm. The Trump administration is proposing "Bitcoin Bonds" to expand Bitcoin reserves.

This report reviews Web3 on-chain data for March 2025. Ethereum saw the largest net outflow of $486 million. Meanwhile, the market absorbed 2 million BTC in selling pressure, with long-term holders adding 278,000 BTC to their positions. Bitcoin exchange reserves hit a five-year low at 2,639,252 BTC. Four.meme created 153,212 tokens by March 31, with its trading volume spiking in March, reaching $80.18 million in daily volume on March 21. CZ’s influence drove $MUBARAK to a trading volume of $258 million on March 17.

The article analyzes the SEC's shift in regulatory stance, the impact of the DART system on transparency, and the potential regulatory outlook for NFTs. Although the SEC has shown a willingness to work with the industry, current regulatory progress remains insufficient, and the real impetus for change may come from congressional legislation.

Macro policies allocate capital in the long run, and liquidity in crypto flows between casino-style trading, yield farming, and emerging value-driven investments, despite volatility.

Gate Research Daily Report: On April 1, Bitcoin edged up 0.07% to $83,010, while Ethereum dipped 0.30% to $1,835. Digital assets saw $226 million in net inflows over the past week, ending a five-week outflow streak for altcoins. Stablecoin supply on Tron increased by $1.21 billion in the last 7 days. Bitcoin's exchange supply dropped to 7.53%, the lowest since February 2018. NFT marketplace X2Y2 announced it will cease operations. The second phase of the Babylon Genesis mainnet is set to launch. Circle is advancing its initial public offering (IPO) plans.

March 2025 witnessed a surge of significant developments in the blockchain and cryptocurrency sectors, demonstrating the market's vitality and industry trends. Key projects including Gate.io Wallet, Berachain, Aave, Raydium, and Pump.fun made substantial progress through performance upgrades, on-chain governance improvements, protocol expansions, and new platform launches - highlighting product innovation and community growth while injecting fresh momentum into the industry. Meanwhile, the manipulation attack on Hyperliquid, which triggered forced liquidations, served as a wake-up call for DeFi projects to strengthen their risk management and governance structures.

Gate Research: March 2025 was marked by a complex and volatile global economic and financial landscape. In the United States, February inflation data came in well below expectations, while the March consumer confidence index dropped sharply from 67.8 to 57.9—both signaling a weakening U.S. economy. In the crypto sector, the IMF introduced a clear classification framework for digital assets, designating Bitcoin as a capital account asset, and former President Donald Trump announced plans to establish a U.S. national crypto reserve, including BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, and ADA as core holdings. On the whole, March brought a wave of policy and regulatory developments that were broadly favorable for the crypto market. These intersecting events not only influenced short-term market dynamics but also provided valuable direction for future economic policymaking and market evolution.

On March 31, Bitcoin fell 1.75% to $81,631, while Ethereum declined 1.79% to $1,803. The number of Solana addresses holding more than 0.1 SOL surpassed 11.12 million, marking a new all-time high. Cumulative trading volume on Uniswap v4 exceeded $2.7 billion. Vitalik released a security roadmap for Ethereum Layer 2. Daily crypto trading volume has plummeted nearly 70% since the U.S. election. Meanwhile, global crypto regulations continue to ease, with 47 countries having relaxed policies since 2020.

Yet many projects struggle to generate meaningful traction. In a crowded field, verifiable metrics stand out as the clearest signal to attract attention. Asia—particularly India—has emerged as a key region where projects can achieve real scale, not inflated stats.

Gate Research Daily Report: On March 28, Bitcoin fell by 0.77% to $86,783, while Ethereum dropped by 1.06% to $2,003. Hyperliquid announced it will delist JELLY, with user losses to be covered by the foundation. Sonic Labs is set to launch SonicCS 2.0, aiming to double consensus speed and significantly optimize resource usage. Kazakhstan plans to establish a national crypto bank to bring all crypto trading under full regulatory oversight. In Q1, hacker attacks resulted in $1.64 billion in losses across the crypto market, setting a new quarterly record. Meanwhile, Bitcoin whales accumulated over 129,000 BTC this month, marking the strongest accumulation trend in nearly seven months.

Blockchain holds broad application prospects in e-government and public services. It can address issues such as data sharing, trust and security, and business process efficiency, enhancing administrative efficiency, transparency, and credibility while strengthening data security and privacy protection. Despite challenges like technological maturity, standardization, privacy protection, and public awareness, continuous innovation, improved standards, and global collaboration are expected to reshape e-government and public service models, advancing the modernization of governance systems and capabilities.

This article explores the core functions of blockchain and its most suitable use cases from a first-principles perspective.

Gate Research (March 21–27, 2025) presents a comprehensive analysis of key developments in the cryptocurrency market and broader macroeconomic landscape. On March 21, the U.S. SEC clarified that PoW mining activities do not constitute securities issuance. On March 24, the IMF officially introduced a crypto asset classification system, listing Bitcoin under the capital account. That same day, the Oklahoma House passed a bill proposing the inclusion of Bitcoin in public fund reserves, while Kentucky signed the "Bitcoin Rights Act" to protect the rights to self-custody and node operation. On March 25, Asia Web3 Alliance Japan proposed a U.S.-Japan partnership to advance tokenization and Web3 innovation. Finally, on March 27, Wyoming announced plans to launch the WYST stablecoin in July, marking the first fiat-backed stablecoin to be issued by a U.S. state.

Gate Research Weekly Report: This week, BTC price showed an upward trend this week, reaching a high of $88,757. Hyperliquid faced a manipulation attack, intensifying trust concerns. Wyoming plans to launch its WYST stablecoin in July. Ethereum developers drafted EIP-7917 proposal. Aave lending rates dropped to 4% amid rising market caution. Berachain's TVL exceeded $3.4 billion, with Infrared emerging as a key growth driver. DeFi protocol Abracadabra suffered a $13 million exploit.